Helping rearm and train Ukraine will probably be part of any scenario. It goes without saying that these options are not mutually exclusive.
And fourth, the West could turn Ukraine into a bristling porcupine, armed to the hilt with massive Western training and other support, so that it would be all but impossible for Russia to swallow. Third, Ukraine could sign bilateral security guarantees with select countries that pledge to come to Kyiv’s aid in the event of war. Second, Ukraine could receive some kind of new NATO status, which de facto integrates its armed forces with NATO militaries without the collective defense clause under Article 5.
#STRATEGIC WAR IN EUROPE VS STRATEGIC COMMAND FULL#
First, Ukraine could become a full NATO member protected by the alliance’s guarantee-enshrined in Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty-to come to Ukraine’s defense if Russia attacks again in the future. There seem to be four stable choices for Ukraine that won’t just pause the war. This time, there must not be a follow-on war a few years down the road. It must make sure that this will not be a repeat of 2014, when Russia paused its invasion in Crimea and the Donbas while it prepared for a full-on war.
When this happens-whether as a result of victory or mutual exhaustion, whether the guns remain silent or some degree of fighting continues along a static front line-the West needs a game plan to deter future Russian aggression. The Spanish American philosopher George Santanaya once remarked that “only the dead have seen the end of war.” In truth, however, all high-intensity wars eventually end, and Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine will end at some point, too.
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